Attached-Flute

0xdb06587a02ed4c451107313c7128fafb5165d9ac

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Attached-Flute: −$164 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$164
return −1.4%
Settled bets
7
$12K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$313
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$477
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 19 BUY Over @ 96¢
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5 $3.0K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 60¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.0K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 93¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? $5.2K
Sep 16 SELL Yes @ 99.81¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? $5.2K
Sep 15 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? $4.9K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 88¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? $2.3K
Aug 27 SELL Yes @ 99.8¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? $1.5K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed