Dense-Custom-Something

0xda127c04880e3cf2eba375b6766beb48cc4b9870

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dense-Custom-Something: −$11K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$11K
return −47.7%
Settled bets
2
$23K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$11K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 84¢
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30?
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30? $12K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 84¢
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30?
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30? $1.4K
Aug 30 BUY @ 47¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30? AND Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-30?
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30? AND Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-30? $4.9K
Aug 26 BUY Yes @ 79¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? $9.4K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed