Plush-Wharf
0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd1409
Plush-Wharf: −$32K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 30% (95% range 16%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$32K
return −54.9%
Settled bets
23
$58K staked
Won
30.4%
95% range 16%–51%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$28K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$3.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 74¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $2.7K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Anyones Legend
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | $5.8K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Anyones Legend
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $3.2K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $29K |
| Sep 6 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Gen.G
@ 54¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Aug 28 | SELL Team Vitality
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner | $8.3K |
| Aug 28 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 75¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner | $2.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.