Flaky-Plough
0xd76b66e681121da7da268eaabf436954631ce9d5
Flaky-Plough: +$9.5K on 39 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 32%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$9.5K
return +13.0%
Settled bets
39
$73K staked
Won
46.2%
95% range 32%–61%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 28 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$9.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6 | BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas
@ 62¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Sep 6 | BUY T1
@ 36¢
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 59¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $5.0K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Ninjas in Pyjamas
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $3.3K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Karmine Corp
@ 59¢
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) |
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | $3.0K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas
@ 39¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Gen.G
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner | $6.3K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Gen.G
@ 60¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner | $3.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.