Favorite-Break

0xd70b975d2d2eb3e5f9e7c07ffe2fda8265d9dcb1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Favorite-Break: +$1.6K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 57%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.6K
return +22.3%
Settled bets
5
$7.2K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 57%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$894
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$701
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 SELL Trail Blazers @ 58¢
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers $1.0K
Sep 27 BUY FOKUS @ 64¢
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 Winner $1.1K
Sep 21 BUY T1 Academy @ 95¢
LoL: Fuego vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
LoL: Fuego vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A $1.8K
Sep 19 BUY DN SOOPers Challengers @ 93¢
LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A $1.1K
Sep 18 BUY MIBR @ 71¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.4K
Sep 16 BUY Vitality @ 89¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.8K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed