Handy-Ceramic
0xd4fb9ab08860f8cf7f5e6b47331d01a8dbd34c2a
Handy-Ceramic: −$468 on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 34%–74%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$468
return −1.3%
Settled bets
20
$36K staked
Won
55.0%
95% range 34%–74%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$4.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 52¢
UCF vs. Houston: O/U 51.5 |
UCF vs. Houston: O/U 51.5 | $1.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 53¢
Michigan vs. Minnesota: O/U 43.5 |
Michigan vs. Minnesota: O/U 43.5 | $2.1K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Under
@ 53¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Minnesota Twins
@ 58¢
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants |
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | $2.9K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Atlanta Braves
@ 64¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | $1.3K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Under
@ 52¢
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 |
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 | $1.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Florida International
@ 52¢
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-6.5) |
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-6.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Over
@ 53¢
Wyoming vs. Central Michigan: O/U 38.5 |
Wyoming vs. Central Michigan: O/U 38.5 | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.