Absolute-Mention-Baobab
0xd4f5ccac4ab4c1280b0d6c28549792216efdb743
Absolute-Mention-Baobab: −$2.2K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 82% (95% range 52%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.2K
return −11.6%
Settled bets
11
$19K staked
Won
81.8%
95% range 52%–95%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$56
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$44
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | $4.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? | $1.4K |
| Sep 13 | BUY No
@ 99.39¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13? | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13? |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13? | $1.4K |
| Sep 4 | BUY No
@ 99.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 4? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 4? | $1.3K |
| Sep 4 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 4? |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 4? | $3.8K |
| Sep 3 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4? | $2.2K |
| Sep 3 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3? | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.