Unwieldy-Fight-Placebo
0xd4aea3e87d6d16badf19386f2049342b0e138ead
Unwieldy-Fight-Placebo: +$10K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$10K
return +138.4%
Settled bets
4
$7.3K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$10K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | $1.8K |
| Aug 30 | BUY KT Rolster
@ 23¢
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $2.7K |
| Aug 27 | BUY FURIA Esports
@ 48¢
Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs |
Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Aug 23 | SELL Hanwha Life Esports
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | $1.7K |
| Aug 23 | SELL Hanwha Life Esports
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | $2.0K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 53¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | $1.3K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.