Genuine-Segment
0xd34bf815245d5bcea098cb0ea17df360b5c50004
Genuine-Segment: +$2.2K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$2.2K
return +11.6%
Settled bets
6
$19K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$433
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$1.5K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$300
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | $3.7K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? |
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | $4.7K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | $7.8K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 86¢
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? |
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? | $2.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 91¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | $2.2K |
| Sep 11 | BUY No
@ 81¢
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? |
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | $1.2K |
| Aug 28 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $1.3K |
| Aug 25 | SELL No
@ 99.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | $6.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.