0xD1c9…915f

0xD1c9084Dbf056e19DCFfb8Dd132D495240e0915f

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0xD1c9…915f: +$3.6K on 27 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 48% (95% range 31%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$3.6K
return +45.6%
Settled bets
27
$7.9K staked
Won
48.1%
95% range 31%–66%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 27 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 5 – Sep 23
+$880
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$2.7K
Settled profit in each period since Sep 5 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −23.4% (369 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $60
bought Yes @ 16¢ → won (+$327)
BUY $54
bought No @ 83¢ → won (+$11)
BUY $1.0K
bought Yes @ 80¢ → won (+$251)
BUY $264
bought No @ 73¢ → won (+$99)
BUY $104
bought Yes @ 16¢ → lost (−$104)
BUY $142
bought Yes @ 54¢ → won (+$120)
BUY $194
bought Yes @ 19¢ → lost (−$194)
BUY $700
bought No @ 88¢ → lost (−$700)
BUY $239
bought No @ 35¢ → lost (−$239)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 16¢
Draw
Draw $60
Oct 10 BUY No @ 83¢
Tottenham
Tottenham $54
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 80¢
Lille
Lille $1.0K
Oct 10 BUY No @ 73¢
Sunderland and Brighton have 3 or more total goals?
Sunderland and Brighton have 3 or more total goals? $119
Oct 10 BUY No @ 73¢
Sunderland and Brighton have 3 or more total goals?
Sunderland and Brighton have 3 or more total goals? $145
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 16¢
Draw
Draw $104
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 54¢
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen $142
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 19¢
Bournemouth
Bournemouth $194

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed