Critical-Fighter

0xd13e1585ab393467fe2351e6a9b4801f5b19f2d6

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Critical-Fighter: +$5.4K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 20%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.4K
return +98.7%
Settled bets
15
$5.5K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 20%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$4.1K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$270
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 2 SELL No @ 94¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02?
Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02? $1.1K
Sep 27 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
CDP Junior FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5
CDP Junior FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5 $1.6K
Sep 26 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
England vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
England vs. Spain: O/U 0.5 $1.2K
Sep 25 SELL Los Angeles Sparks @ 82¢
Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks $1.2K
Sep 24 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
América de Cali vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro: O/U 0.5
América de Cali vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro: O/U 0.5 $1.2K
Sep 12 SELL Yes @ 99¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? $1.7K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 92¢
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-09-12?
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-09-12? $1.0K
Sep 10 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10?
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10? $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed