Mundane-Band
0xd12dfc5768b85a3eea0b1808939317697449f0db
Mundane-Band: −$8.2K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 8%–48%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$8.2K
return −58.3%
Settled bets
14
$14K staked
Won
21.4%
95% range 8%–48%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$795
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$6.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL HANJIN BRION
@ 90¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Vitality
@ 47¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Spirit
@ 53¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 70¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 2 | SELL T1 Academy
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner | $8.2K |
| Oct 2 | BUY T1 Academy
@ 61¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY LYON
@ 68¢
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs |
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | $1.8K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Gen.G
@ 64¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.