Evil-Assumption

0xd1144f39995ae527c2b4cbd3a7fe6394bfd3b5b3

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Evil-Assumption: +$1.2K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.2K
return +19.2%
Settled bets
2
$6.2K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 25 BUY Dusan Lajovic @ 92¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Dusan Lajovic
US Open, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Dusan Lajovic $3.1K
Aug 24 SELL Yes @ 14¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $1.0K
Aug 24 BUY Oleksii Krutykh @ 77¢
Augsburg: Federico Iannaccone vs Oleksii Krutykh
Augsburg: Federico Iannaccone vs Oleksii Krutykh $3.1K
Aug 24 SELL Yes @ 18¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $1.5K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed