Knowledgeable-Modernist-Alloy

0xd0ac6e6b585c00042a0552a6cf35f2f056ef7dee

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Knowledgeable-Modernist-Alloy: −$4 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4
return —
Settled bets
3
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$2
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 22 SELL Fajing Sun @ 99.9¢
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova $2.0K
Aug 25 SELL Damajuana @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs Damajuana - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs Damajuana - Map 1 Winner $1.0K
Aug 23 SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner $1.0K
Aug 20 SELL G2 Esports @ 99.9¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 - Map 1 Winner $1.0K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed