Raw-Boyhood-Manservant

0xd05f7eb68d4c1311a431c74b295f845a7c468a79

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Raw-Boyhood-Manservant: +$1.6K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.6K
return +139.2%
Settled bets
5
$1.1K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 SELL 1WIN @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner $1.1K
Oct 5 BUY MOUZ @ 41¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner $1.1K
Oct 5 SELL FURIA @ 99¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.1K
Oct 2 SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner $1.2K
Sep 15 SELL Drama eSports @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Drama eSports - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Drama eSports - Map 2 Winner $1.2K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed