Parallel-Demand

0xd0551fc6236560d9e1628ed48c169091406b28d0

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Parallel-Demand: +$4.1K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 57%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.1K
return +60.7%
Settled bets
5
$6.8K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 57%–100%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$559
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$3.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 21 BUY Rostik Team @ 67¢
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Rostik Team - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Rostik Team - Game 1 Winner $1.7K
Sep 19 BUY MIBR @ 50¢
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) $1.0K
Sep 18 BUY MOUZ @ 60¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner $1.1K
Sep 17 BUY FURIA @ 51¢
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) $1.0K
Aug 26 BUY Spirit @ 78¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner $2.0K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed