Offbeat-Traffic
0xd04e0676ea998bb7d5ef405960edd9b273cb41b8
Offbeat-Traffic: +$451 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$451
return +7.0%
Settled bets
6
$6.5K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$291
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$22
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$182
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | $1.4K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Yes
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25? | $1.1K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | $3.7K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | $1.1K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 26? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 26? | $1.6K |
| Sep 22 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | $1.9K |
| Sep 22 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | $2.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.