Only-Fellow
0xd010ff39aed0094b60681cbfd01ef53d4fda2ee6
Only-Fellow: +$7.5K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 39%–86%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$7.5K
return +30.2%
Settled bets
12
$25K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 39%–86%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$6.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 76¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Sep 21 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 63¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $2.5K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Luminosity
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BBL (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BBL (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | $2.8K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Team Nemesis
@ 76¢
Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | $7.1K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Nemiga
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | $7.2K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will FK Neftchi Fargona win on 2026-09-14? |
Will FK Neftchi Fargona win on 2026-09-14? | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 69¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | $3.5K |
| Sep 11 | BUY No
@ 46¢
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? |
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.