Winged-Molasses-Idea

0xcfb2616df0f555ec3b024eaa49bc8a0245cd126a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Winged-Molasses-Idea: +$3.7K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.7K
return +335.1%
Settled bets
8
$1.1K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 22%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.8K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 11 SELL Genaro Alberto Olivieri @ 21¢
Seville: Max Alcala Gurri vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Seville: Max Alcala Gurri vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri $1.1K
Sep 11 SELL Titouan Droguet @ 61¢
Cassis: Titouan Droguet vs Daniil Glinka
Cassis: Titouan Droguet vs Daniil Glinka $1.2K
Sep 10 SELL Simona Waltert @ 59¢
Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichail
Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichail $2.8K
Sep 9 SELL Coco Gauff @ 97¢
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff $2.8K
Sep 9 BUY Dominika Salkova @ 22¢
Barranquilla: Dominika Salkova vs Julia Riera
Barranquilla: Dominika Salkova vs Julia Riera $1.1K
Sep 2 SELL Iva Jovic @ 73¢
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech $1.2K
Aug 25 SELL Donna Vekic @ 70¢
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekic
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekic $1.1K
Aug 21 SELL Carlos Lopez Montagud @ 69¢
ITF M25 Santander Men: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Sergi Perez Contri
ITF M25 Santander Men: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Sergi Perez Contri $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed