High-Blight
0xce29c0049a9abc3ce97ccca91bae0a480d073b0d
High-Blight: +$29K on 42 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 33%–62%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$29K
return +12.2%
Settled bets
42
$235K staked
Won
47.6%
95% range 33%–62%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 36 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$33K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$4.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 50¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $3.5K |
| Sep 19 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 50¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $5.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 33¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $3.3K |
| Sep 18 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $49K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 99¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $9.9K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 99¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $9.9K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 54¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $4.6K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Team WE
@ 49¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.