Probable-Fava-Multimedia

0xcdc176a5f6db50cef58a1d431a8b20b73e57fc86

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Probable-Fava-Multimedia: +$1.7K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.7K
return +66.1%
Settled bets
2
$2.6K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Spirit @ 38¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner $1.2K
Sep 24 BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 37¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies $1.6K
Sep 24 BUY Yes @ 51¢
Will Serbia win on 2026-09-24?
Will Serbia win on 2026-09-24? $1.0K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed