Hard-To-Find-Swell

0xcd66d7ff1d5ddbb5e57d9eac844403550256664f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Hard-To-Find-Swell: +$697 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$697
return +3.8%
Settled bets
5
$18K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$697
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 21 SELL TEAM VISION @ 83¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs $11K
Aug 21 BUY Team Liquid @ 54¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs $1.3K
Aug 20 SELL Natus Vincere @ 53¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs $5.1K
Aug 20 SELL Natus Vincere @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs $11K
Aug 20 SELL Natus Vincere @ 60¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs $3.3K
Aug 20 BUY Natus Vincere @ 71¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs $15K
Aug 20 BUY Team Liquid @ 56¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs $1.9K
Aug 20 SELL TEAM VISION @ 77¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed