0xCD4a…5f4d

0xCD4a9116240Ce6a2dAe23917F89Ab11bf6705f4d

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0xCD4a…5f4d: +$186 on 38 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 74% (95% range 58%–85%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$186
return +4.8%
Settled bets
38
$3.9K staked
Won
73.7%
95% range 58%–85%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 30 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 5 – Sep 23
−$126
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$313
Settled profit in each period since Sep 5 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −23.4% (369 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $85
bought Yes @ 78¢ → won (+$24)
BUY $60
bought No @ 59¢ → won (+$43)
BUY $78
bought No @ 58¢ → won (+$57)
SELL $79
sold Yes @ 38¢ → lost
BUY $105
bought Yes @ 66¢ → won (+$53)
BUY $137
bought Yes @ 92¢ → won (+$12)
BUY $185
bought Yes @ 88¢ → won (+$25)
BUY $70
bought No @ 94¢ → won (+$5)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Yes @ 78¢
Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou
Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou $85
Oct 11 BUY No @ 59¢
Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea
Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea $60
Oct 11 BUY No @ 58¢
Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea
Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea $78
Oct 11 SELL Yes @ 38¢
Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea
Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea $79
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 66¢
Draw
Draw $105
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 92¢
Chelsea
Chelsea $137
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 88¢
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen $185
Oct 10 BUY No @ 94¢
Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot
Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot $70

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed