Trivial-Biopsy

0xcc4279c50a907c73d3b8c1faf993b1d651cf6bd4

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Trivial-Biopsy: +$4.2K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.2K
return +25.0%
Settled bets
6
$17K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.9K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$1.2K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 BUY No @ 22¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? $1.4K
Oct 6 BUY Team Falcons @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $5.6K
Oct 4 BUY Raiders @ 33¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Chiefs vs. Raiders $3.0K
Sep 20 BUY Bengals @ 45¢
Bengals vs. Texans
Bengals vs. Texans $1.9K
Sep 15 BUY Under @ 34¢
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 $1.2K
Aug 27 BUY MOUZ @ 65¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $2.5K
Aug 22 BUY Team Spirit @ 82¢
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs $2.5K
Aug 19 BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 70¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians $2.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed