Slight-Ultimatum
0xcb7b55b3ff6ed883b7ae72856c465624ce9a3051
Slight-Ultimatum: +$1.7K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 37% (95% range 19%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.7K
return +11.6%
Settled bets
19
$14K staked
Won
36.8%
95% range 19%–59%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$1.6K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$3.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | BUY Timo Legout
@ 58¢
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes |
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | $1.1K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Oksana Selekhmeteva
@ 50¢
Tolentino: Julia Grabher vs Oksana Selekhmeteva |
Tolentino: Julia Grabher vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | $1.1K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Oksana Selekhmeteva
@ 69¢
Tolentino: Julia Grabher vs Oksana Selekhmeteva |
Tolentino: Julia Grabher vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | $1.5K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Maria Timofeeva
@ 55¢
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova |
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova | $1.2K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Kamil Majchrzak
@ 61¢
Hangzhou Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Kamil Majchrzak |
Hangzhou Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Kamil Majchrzak | $1.3K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Hubert Hurkacz
@ 99.9¢
Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz |
Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz | $3.3K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Maya Joint
@ 71¢
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maya Joint |
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maya Joint | $2.0K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5 |
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5 | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.