Hilarious-Taro
0xcacf49579d37fadc5e21842619a5eb95f90f331d
Hilarious-Taro: −$275 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$275
return −3.1%
Settled bets
7
$9.0K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$642
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$367
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | SELL Solary
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner | $8.3K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 89¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | $3.0K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Inner Circle Esports
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | $5.0K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Fuego
@ 53¢
LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A |
LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A | $1.0K |
| Sep 22 | SELL T1 Academy
@ 99.9¢
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A |
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A | $4.7K |
| Sep 22 | SELL Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | $3.4K |
| Sep 21 | SELL Dplus KIA Challengers
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C |
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C | $5.2K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.