Oddball-Patch
0xca8e9afdd19d703eaa7733dabf771969b97bce7d
Oddball-Patch: −$821 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$821
return −17.8%
Settled bets
4
$4.6K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$821
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2 | BUY BIG
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | $2.2K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Heroic
@ 62¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 2 | SELL EAC Extra
@ 99¢
Counter-Strike: QUB vs EAC Extra (BO3) - United21 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: QUB vs EAC Extra (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 1 | BUY
@ 66¢
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MVSK Secret (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs |
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MVSK Secret (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Aug 25 | BUY
@ 61¢
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs AND Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs FUSION X (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Main Event Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A AND Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A |
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs AND Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs FUSION X (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Main Event Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A AND Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A | $2.5K |
| Aug 25 | SELL Just Players
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage | $4.3K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Just Players
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Aug 24 | SELL
@ 99.21¢
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Playoffs AND LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 2 Winner AND LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 |
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Playoffs AND LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 2 Winner AND LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.