Testy-State
0xca4e92ce46d71a9fad74805470a84ee3d576f97e
Testy-State: +$17K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$17K
return +49.6%
Settled bets
6
$34K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$5.3K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$12K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | BUY Nevada
@ 51¢
Spread: Air Force (-5.5) |
Spread: Air Force (-5.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Nevada
@ 50¢
Spread: Air Force (-5.5) |
Spread: Air Force (-5.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Oregon State vs. UTEP: O/U 55.5 |
Oregon State vs. UTEP: O/U 55.5 | $7.6K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Fresno State
@ 51¢
Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) |
Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Fresno State
@ 51¢
Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) |
Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) | $1.3K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Fresno State
@ 51¢
Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) |
Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) | $1.3K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Under
@ 49¢
Missouri vs. Mississippi State: O/U 58.5 |
Missouri vs. Mississippi State: O/U 58.5 | $4.7K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
South Florida vs. Bowling Green: O/U 48.5 |
South Florida vs. Bowling Green: O/U 48.5 | $7.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.