Crisp-Sleet-Pinafore
0xc9a24fa249cf907c598544a4d46c077c1edf77d3
Crisp-Sleet-Pinafore: +$131K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 39%–78%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$131K
return +39.7%
Settled bets
20
$330K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 39%–78%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 19 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$131K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 50¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $5.0K |
| Aug 29 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 47¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.2K |
| Aug 29 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 50¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.1K |
| Aug 29 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 51¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $7.1K |
| Aug 29 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 36¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner | $1.3K |
| Aug 29 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 37¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | $14K |
| Aug 29 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 38¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Aug 29 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 32¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | $13K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.