Impractical-Sample
Skill vs luck
Impractical-Sample on Polymarket: 12 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 47%–91%) · profit +$2.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Impractical-Sample: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc934c697050d8aa202c050055ca1378082df215f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Impractical-Sample: +$2.9K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 47%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$74
- Sep 17 – Oct 2
- −$1.8K
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- +$4.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | SELL CTBC Flying Oyster @ 78¢ | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Karmine Corp @ 99¢ | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $3.5K |
| Oct 28 | BUY LYON @ 93¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.8K |
| Oct 26 | SELL Timberwolves @ 69¢ | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 89¢ | LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $2.6K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Gen.G @ 99¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 24 | SELL G2 Esports @ 90¢ | LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.