Required-Syrup
0xc9100a0a0bd3f7dbf9810af334cb04bb8a4d8bbc
Required-Syrup: −$2.3K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 32% (95% range 15%–54%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.3K
return −9.9%
Settled bets
19
$23K staked
Won
31.6%
95% range 15%–54%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | SELL Team Nemesis
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Direborn vs Team Nemesis - Game 4 Winner |
Dota 2: Direborn vs Team Nemesis - Game 4 Winner | $1.4K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Vitality
@ 47¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Legacy
@ 27¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | $1.1K |
| Aug 28 | SELL Team Synapse
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A | $1.6K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Legacy
@ 92¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | $2.2K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 69¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Aug 23 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 49¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Yes
@ 42¢
Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026? |
Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026? | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.