Spectacular-Rainstorm

0xc8da6025aff3b76e40771430948c09cd2d41e7d8

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Spectacular-Rainstorm: −$14 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$14
return —
Settled bets
3
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$14
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner $1.8K
Oct 3 SELL LYON @ 99.9¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Oct 3 SELL FURIA Esports @ 99¢
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner $1.1K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed