Messy-Advocate
0xc8b326b61fa3339a36fce2af34015445afd86b95
Messy-Advocate: −$839 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$839
return −18.2%
Settled bets
2
$4.6K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$839
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | BUY Eagles
@ 49¢
Spread: Eagles (-3.5) |
Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | $2.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Seahawks
@ 52¢
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) |
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | $2.0K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.