Arid-Hurdle

0xc7ed9805c6354c0a1955215e7705647fc0506c8b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Arid-Hurdle: +$1.8K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.8K
return +41.8%
Settled bets
4
$4.3K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$956
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$1.0K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Over @ 52¢
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 55¢
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 75.5
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 75.5 $1.1K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 52¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.0K
Sep 2 BUY Tsitsipas @ 53¢
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Harris (+1.5)
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Harris (+1.5) $1.1K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed