Greedy-Shirtdress
0xc7c75abc70905266c345ab7a8b9696411ab844b7
Greedy-Shirtdress: −$47 on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 41% (95% range 26%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$47
return −0.1%
Settled bets
29
$39K staked
Won
41.4%
95% range 26%–59%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$9.8K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$7.4K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$2.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 43¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5 |
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Under
@ 93¢
IF Gnistan vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 1.5 |
IF Gnistan vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 1.5 | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Over
@ 21¢
Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 |
Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 | $1.5K |
| Sep 27 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5 |
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5 | $1.9K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Over
@ 53¢
Charlotte FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5 |
Charlotte FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 |
England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | $4.2K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Japan vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score |
Japan vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score | $4.9K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
Japan vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score |
Japan vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.