Waterlogged-Grade
0xc72d7dcdb23597d143a83536fb97b1d7db7efc21
Waterlogged-Grade: −$10K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 28%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$10K
return −6.8%
Settled bets
16
$153K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 28%–72%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$15K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$25K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | BUY Under
@ 59¢
Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 |
Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 | $4.4K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 71¢
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-15? |
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-15? | $3.6K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 71¢
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-15? |
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-15? | $18K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 |
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | $4.5K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 75¢
Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-09-14? |
Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-09-14? | $1.1K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 75¢
Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-09-14? |
Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-09-14? | $1.9K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 74¢
Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-09-14? |
Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-09-14? | $1.1K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Torino FC
@ 62¢
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) |
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.