Idle-Menorah

0xc7075d16f6b072b4af170b44d9e211eade5f6600

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Idle-Menorah: +$131 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$131
return +4.7%
Settled bets
2
$2.8K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$210
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$79
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 15 SELL Tommaso Compagnucci @ 97¢
Biella: Riccardo Carpano vs Tommaso Compagnucci
Biella: Riccardo Carpano vs Tommaso Compagnucci $2.7K
Sep 8 SELL Francesco Ferrari @ 45¢
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari $1.4K
Sep 8 BUY Francesco Ferrari @ 49¢
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari $2.3K
Sep 8 SELL Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 51¢
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari $25K
Sep 8 BUY Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 58¢
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari $2.3K
Sep 8 BUY Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 57¢
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari $16K
Sep 1 BUY Elena Rybakina @ 93¢
US Open WTA: Thea Frodin vs Elena Rybakina
US Open WTA: Thea Frodin vs Elena Rybakina $2.8K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed