Rotten-Amazon
0xc6f8ddaba6a90c54f99f1b1461bae85a4dd17fa1
Rotten-Amazon: +$2.2K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 36%–80%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.2K
return +12.6%
Settled bets
15
$17K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 36%–80%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$49
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Karmine Corp
@ 68¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 62¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 63¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 59¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY T1 Academy
@ 60¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 53¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 53¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.