This-Classmate-Anteater

0xc6db26de29890d6847ea1b1bcfee08363f2cbd77

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

This-Classmate-Anteater: +$26K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 32%–81%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$26K
return +38.5%
Settled bets
12
$67K staked
Won
58.3%
95% range 32%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$33K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$7.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 27 BUY Jaguars @ 41¢
Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)
Spread: Jaguars (-4.5) $5.9K
Sep 27 BUY Chargers @ 36¢
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
Spread: Bills (-3.5) $5.7K
Sep 27 BUY Lions @ 43¢
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
Spread: Lions (-7.5) $5.9K
Sep 26 BUY Georgia @ 42¢
Spread: Georgia (-15.5)
Spread: Georgia (-15.5) $4.0K
Sep 26 BUY Texas Tech @ 46¢
Spread: Texas Tech (-35.5)
Spread: Texas Tech (-35.5) $1.6K
Sep 26 BUY Sacred Heart @ 59¢
New Hampshire vs. Sacred Heart
New Hampshire vs. Sacred Heart $4.1K
Sep 25 BUY Under @ 47¢
Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall: O/U 51.5
Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall: O/U 51.5 $4.0K
Sep 25 BUY Under @ 47¢
Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall: O/U 51.5
Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall: O/U 51.5 $1.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed