Red-Cartoon

0xc6afa28f1aded8b64d8792534337eff28b1bd575

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Red-Cartoon: +$637 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$637
return +9.4%
Settled bets
8
$6.8K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 22%–79%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$637
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 28 BUY Fnatic @ 89¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season $1.3K
Aug 28 SELL Shifters @ 99.9¢
LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner $1.3K
Aug 26 BUY KT Rolster @ 65¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner $2.0K
Aug 25 BUY Up @ 41¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET $1.1K
Aug 25 SELL Down @ 68¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET $1.1K
Aug 25 BUY Down @ 63¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET $1.1K
Aug 25 BUY Down @ 66¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET $1.2K
Aug 22 SELL BoomBoys @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs $2.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed