Shadowy-Climb
0xc63886ec9f9a6176de62798a752bd25612d6e298
Shadowy-Climb: −$704 on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 77% (95% range 50%–92%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$704
return −3.4%
Settled bets
13
$21K staked
Won
76.9%
95% range 50%–92%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$64
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$904
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$135
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 99.2¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Getafe CF? |
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Getafe CF? | $2.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Netherlands
@ 99¢
Spread: Serbia (-1.5) |
Spread: Serbia (-1.5) | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Namibia win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Namibia win on 2026-10-03? | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? | $2.8K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01? | $1.0K |
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29? |
Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29? | $2.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Seattle Mariners
@ 98¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels |
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | $1.1K |
| Sep 13 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-09-13? |
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-09-13? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.