Proud-Maybe

0xc5b0dc7e10fc7479290799f8c9642ca10403180d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Proud-Maybe: −$5.8K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–43%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.8K
return −115.2%
Settled bets
5
$5.0K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–43%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$2.4K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$762
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 23 BUY Conventus Stellarum @ 65¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage $2.6K
Sep 12 SELL Anyones Legend @ 66¢
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) $1.5K
Aug 26 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner $1.3K
Aug 23 BUY TEAM VISION @ 54¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner $1.2K
Aug 22 SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner $1.3K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed