Submissive-Yarn
0xc46132791451b87dafd9ee1607a21cdfdfcbc951
Submissive-Yarn: −$11K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$11K
return −29.4%
Settled bets
4
$36K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$11K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 82¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner | $16K |
| Oct 5 | BUY 1WIN
@ 76¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner | $17K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03? | $12K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | $3.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.