Big-Hearted-Something

0xc29198ad764bd6adaf7bb971a3757a689ece5d74

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Big-Hearted-Something: −$283 on 33 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 73%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$283
return −0.4%
Settled bets
33
$67K staked
Won
87.9%
95% range 73%–95%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 33 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$283
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 1 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw? $1.2K
Aug 30 BUY No @ 65¢
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-30?
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-30? $1.0K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-30?
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-30? $2.1K
Aug 30 BUY Under @ 25¢
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5 $2.7K
Aug 30 BUY Under @ 25¢
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5 $2.7K
Aug 29 BUY No @ 80¢
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-29?
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-29? $1.4K
Aug 29 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29? $1.3K
Aug 29 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29? $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed