Slippery-Joint

0xc0df1962fe833018dca318301b3344a43a965974

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Slippery-Joint: −$453 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$453
return −13.9%
Settled bets
4
$3.3K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.3K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 13 SELL Vikings @ 99.21¢
Packers vs. Vikings
Packers vs. Vikings $1.6K
Sep 6 BUY Ole Miss @ 54¢
Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5)
Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) $1.8K
Sep 6 SELL LSU @ 99.9¢
Spread: LSU (-9.5)
Spread: LSU (-9.5) $2.8K
Sep 6 BUY LSU @ 53¢
Spread: LSU (-9.5)
Spread: LSU (-9.5) $1.5K
Aug 20 SELL No @ 99¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles $1.7K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed