Fickle-Haunt
0xbfeceb4126b34e7e194c3d02cc107125785f4c6c
Fickle-Haunt: −$812 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 35%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$812
return −4.8%
Settled bets
9
$17K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 35%–88%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$71
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.3K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$392
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 98¢
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5 |
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Over
@ 51¢
O/U 1.5 Rounds |
O/U 1.5 Rounds | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Under
@ 37¢
O/U 2.5 Rounds |
O/U 2.5 Rounds | $1.1K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Chiefs
@ 44¢
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) |
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) | $1.5K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
FCV Dender EH vs. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen: O/U 0.5 |
FCV Dender EH vs. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen: O/U 0.5 | $6.1K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Raiders
@ 97¢
Spread: Chargers (-2.5) |
Spread: Chargers (-2.5) | $1.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Eagles
@ 97¢
Eagles vs. Titans |
Eagles vs. Titans | $3.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Over
@ 98¢
FCV Dender EH vs. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen: O/U 0.5 |
FCV Dender EH vs. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen: O/U 0.5 | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.