Somber-Notepad

0xbfb057919d93e806d8e08884f14e4d59ed4a4488

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Somber-Notepad: −$762 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$762
return —
Settled bets
3
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$762
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 9 SELL Elena Rybakina @ 73¢
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina $2.0K
Sep 8 SELL Yes @ 99¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? $1.2K
Sep 7 SELL Elena Rybakina @ 99.9¢
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina $3.1K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed