Repulsive-Member

0xbf6c600a11ca0a72b799d16265301df68b348ce4

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Repulsive-Member: +$4.9K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 35%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.9K
return +32.5%
Settled bets
11
$15K staked
Won
63.6%
95% range 35%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$4.5K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 BUY Yes @ 55¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? $1.9K
Sep 21 BUY Slovenia @ 83¢
Slovenia vs. Serbia
Slovenia vs. Serbia $2.0K
Sep 19 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5
CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 $1.8K
Sep 18 BUY Over @ 92¢
CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5
CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 $1.7K
Sep 18 SELL Over @ 51¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 $1.2K
Sep 18 BUY Over @ 86¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 $2.0K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 88¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-17?
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-17? $1.8K
Sep 16 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? $1.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed