Full-Settler

0xbf1af4eaa64ecc3aafff7a64d32fce6136ba83ea

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Full-Settler: +$1.2K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 21%–72%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.2K
return +6.3%
Settled bets
11
$19K staked
Won
45.5%
95% range 21%–72%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$3.0K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$4.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 SELL Over @ 21¢
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5 $1.2K
Oct 9 SELL 1win @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner $2.1K
Oct 9 BUY 1win @ 70¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner $1.5K
Oct 5 BUY Panthers @ 74¢
Lions vs. Panthers
Lions vs. Panthers $2.4K
Oct 4 SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢
Chargers vs. Seahawks
Chargers vs. Seahawks $7.5K
Oct 4 SELL Vikings @ 88¢
Dolphins vs. Vikings
Dolphins vs. Vikings $2.5K
Oct 3 SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner $7.1K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03?
Will England win on 2026-10-03? $7.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed