Secondary-Covariate
0xbefa3f0e781470fd2b9a3b74caa4c67f99272f1a
Secondary-Covariate: +$5.6K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 56%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$5.6K
return +35.2%
Settled bets
9
$16K staked
Won
88.9%
95% range 56%–98%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$5.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | BUY Fajing Sun
@ 52¢
Zhangjiagang: Fajing Sun vs Tung-Lin Wu |
Zhangjiagang: Fajing Sun vs Tung-Lin Wu | $2.0K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Golden State Valkyries
@ 72¢
Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire |
Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire | $1.5K |
| Aug 30 | SELL G2 Esports
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Jaime Faria
@ 95¢
US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby |
US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby | $2.6K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Los Angeles Sparks
@ 84¢
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm |
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm | $3.0K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Vitality
@ 72¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Aug 30 | BUY France
@ 68¢
Sweden vs. France |
Sweden vs. France | $1.1K |
| Aug 30 | SELL Germany
@ 99.9¢
Poland vs. Germany |
Poland vs. Germany | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.